TimesFM 2.0 (500M params, LoRA fine-tune, PyTorch)
Commodity Forecaster (TimesFM 2.0).
Public market-data forecaster — quantile commodity-price forecast for enumerated non-precious commodities (p10/p50/p90 over 30d/90d) via TimesFM 2.0 LoRA fine-tune.
Foundation · TimesFM 2.0 (500M params, LoRA fine-tune, PyTorch)
The honest description.
Public market-data forecaster — quantile commodity-price forecast for enumerated non-precious commodities (p10/p50/p90 over 30d/90d) via TimesFM 2.0 LoRA fine-tune.
How it works.
Public market-wide commodity-price time-series (PR-7 public-data path via TimesFmForecaster.public_forecast) — 256-day context length, daily resample. NOT per-user; no per-user signed_amount window. TimesFM 2.0 backbone weights + LoRA adapter (PR-3 artifact). Quantile forecast (p10/p50/p90) over 30d/90d horizons + isotonic recalibration applied + monotone-repair clamped (TabularRisk F1 invariant). ForecastResponse Pydantic shape (PR-5).
What it learned from, and how we watch it.
Inputs: Public market-wide commodity-price time-series (PR-7 public-data path via TimesFmForecaster.public_forecast) — 256-day context length, daily resample. NOT per-user; no per-user signed_amount window. TimesFM 2.0 backbone weights + LoRA adapter (PR-3 artifact).
Drift baseline not yet documented for this model.
- Operator-gated to first AWS GPU rollout — TimesFmTritonAdapter raises ConfigurationError until TRITON_FORECASTER_URL is set + Triton forecast-pool deployed.
Every release, traceable.
Data Mukodi holds about you is subject to DPDP §12 erasure (use /consent in the app), and any concern about this model can be raised via [email protected] under DPDP §13 grievance, or via /security.