in-developmentApache 2.0tabularretail-facing

Commodity Forecaster (TimesFM 2.0).

Public market-data forecaster — quantile commodity-price forecast for enumerated non-precious commodities (p10/p50/p90 over 30d/90d) via TimesFM 2.0 LoRA fine-tune.

Foundation · TimesFM 2.0 (500M params, LoRA fine-tune, PyTorch)

What it does

The honest description.

Public market-data forecaster — quantile commodity-price forecast for enumerated non-precious commodities (p10/p50/p90 over 30d/90d) via TimesFM 2.0 LoRA fine-tune.

Architecture

How it works.

Public market-wide commodity-price time-series (PR-7 public-data path via TimesFmForecaster.public_forecast) — 256-day context length, daily resample. NOT per-user; no per-user signed_amount window. TimesFM 2.0 backbone weights + LoRA adapter (PR-3 artifact). Quantile forecast (p10/p50/p90) over 30d/90d horizons + isotonic recalibration applied + monotone-repair clamped (TabularRisk F1 invariant). ForecastResponse Pydantic shape (PR-5).

Family

TimesFM 2.0 (500M params, LoRA fine-tune, PyTorch)

Foundation

TimesFM 2.0 (500M params, LoRA fine-tune, PyTorch)

Training data & drift

What it learned from, and how we watch it.

Source

Inputs: Public market-wide commodity-price time-series (PR-7 public-data path via TimesFmForecaster.public_forecast) — 256-day context length, daily resample. NOT per-user; no per-user signed_amount window. TimesFM 2.0 backbone weights + LoRA adapter (PR-3 artifact).

Drift baseline · current quarter

Drift baseline not yet documented for this model.

What it's NOT
  • Operator-gated to first AWS GPU rollout — TimesFmTritonAdapter raises ConfigurationError until TRITON_FORECASTER_URL is set + Triton forecast-pool deployed.
Version history · immutable once published

Every release, traceable.

v12026-05-11catalog YAML migration (stage: in-development)catalog-yaml-migration

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